RESEARCH
Forthcoming and Accepted Papers
On the Coexistence of Cryptocurrency and Fiat Money (August 2022)
Review of Economic Dynamics, Forthcoming
WP Version: PDF File (Updated August 03, 2022);
Conference: The Summer Workshop on Money, Banking, Payments and Finance, the Bank of Canada, Ottawa, Canada; Midwest Economics Association Meeting, St. Louis, Missouri; 2019.
Seminar: Binghamton University, State University of New York; Louisiana State University; 2022; Macro Brown Bag Seminar at the University of California Irvine, 2020.
Media Coverage: Heller-Hurwicz Institute Article (February 2021)
Abstract: This paper uses a search-theoretic model to study conditions under which cryptocurrency is valued and under which it coexists with fiat money. In my model, a cryptocurrency economy is one in which private agents’ decisions determine the stock of money and in which the marginal cost of producing money is increasing in the existing nominal stock. I show that the inflation rate of cryptocurrency must be zero in a stationary monetary equilibrium. This result is in sharp contrast to models with fiat money in which the stock of money is exogenously given. In fiat money economies, the inflation rate is determined by the rate of growth of the money stock. My result is also in sharp contrast with other types of private money economies, in which the inflation rate must necessarily be different from zero. In such private money economies, the cost of producing additional money does not depend on the existing nominal stock. Moreover, I show that cryptocurrency and fiat money can circulate at the same time and that the rates of return on these two assets may not be the same. Competition with cryptocurrency restricts the government’s ability to over-issue fiat money and thereby might improve on pure fiat money equilibria without government commitment.
Keywords: Cryptocurrency, Private Money, Currency Competition, Money Search
Association of SNAP Retailers with Child Food Insecurity during the COVID-19 Pandemic (with Qingxiao Li, Shuoli Zhao, and Metin Çakır), December 2022
The Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA) Pediatrics, Forthcoming
Journal Publications
Home Production and Leisure During the COVID-19 Recession (with Oksana Leukhina)
WP Version: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2020-025; HCEO Working Paper 2020-060
Media Coverage: HCEO (April 2020); Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics (October 2020); St. Louis Public Radio (November 2020); Annual Report 2020, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (April 2021); Survey of Current Business, Bureau of Economics Analysis (February 2022)
Association of Food Expenditure with Life Expectancy in the United States, 2001-2014 (with Qingxiao Li, Shuai Yuan, Susanna C. Larsson, and Qiqiang He)
Federal Reserve Publications
Home Production Activity during the COVID-19 Shutdown (with Oksana Leukhina)
Media Coverage: St. Louis Fed On the Economy Blog (January 2021); St. Louis Fed On the Economy Blog (January 2021)
Federal Reserve Blog Posts
COVID-19 and the Great Recession: Market Hours and Home Production across American Households (with Oksana Leukhina and Devin Werner)
Selected Working Papers / Work in Progress
Revise & Resubmit at Journal of Public EconomicsPreviously circulated under the names "Understanding the Rise in Labor Supply of Older Workers in the United States" and "Trends in the Labour Supply of Older Men and the Role of Social Security"Updated: February 2023; First Draft: May 2021
Other WP Version: HCEO Working Paper 2021-041
Conference: The 79 th Annual Congress of the International Institute of Public Finance (Invited); 2023; Midwest Macro Meeting Fall; Stanford University, SIEPR Working Longer and Retirement Conference (Invited); North America Summer Meetings of the Econometric Society; Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (Invited); BSE Summer Forum (MLM Workshop, canceled due to travel restriction); NBER conference, The Labor Market for Older Worker; 2022; European Winter Meetings of the Econometric Society; The 29th Colloquium on Pensions and Retirement Research, CEPAR and UNSW; Economics Graduate Student Conference, Washington University in St. Louis; Young Economist Symposium, Princeton Econ; Australian Meeting of the Econometric Society; China Meeting of the Econometric Society; Western Economic Association International Annual Conference; Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society; Heller-Hurwicz Economics Institute Alumni Conference; European Society for Population Economics; ASSA 2021 Annual Meeting (poster); 2021; Southern Economic Association; Association for Public Policy Analysis & Management; 2020.
Seminar: Florida State University; University of South Carolina; 2023; Louisiana State University; University of Missouri; University of Queensland; Georgetown University Qatar; Mississippi State University; City University of Hong Kong; 2022; Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta; Labor, Firms, and Macro Reading Group; Jinan University IESR; 2021.
Best PhD Paper Presentation Award at the 29th Colloquium on Pensions and Retirement Research, Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research and University of New South Wales, 2021
Media Coverage: Heller-Hurwicz Institute Article (June 2021); Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research (December 2021)
Abstract: The labor supply of older men increased from the 1930s to the 1950s cohort. This paper explores the role of three Social Security changes in determining these differences: a delayed normal retirement age, increased delayed retirement credits, and a change in the earnings test that was eliminated beyond the retirement age, and evaluates the effects of several proposed reforms to the Social Security program on individuals’ behaviors. I develop and estimate a rich dynamic life-cycle model of labor supply, savings, and Social Security application for healthy and unhealthy people using the Method of Simulated Moments for the 1930s birth cohort. The model captures the key structure of the Social Security retirement benefits, pension systems, and disability insurance, while taking into account uncertainties in health and disability, survival rates, wages, and medical expenditures. My model matches well the observed life-cycle profiles of employment, hours worked by workers, and savings for healthy and unhealthy people from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics data, and generates labor supply elasticities that rise with age and are smaller for healthy workers. It shows that the joint effects of the three changes in Social Security rules account for over 73% of the observed rises in labor force participation and hours per worker by the 1950s cohort. Of the three changed rules, the change in the earnings test contributes the most to the labor dynamics of older men. Additional policy experiments suggest that postponing the retirement age has little effect on older workers, while eliminating the earnings test and reducing retirement benefits by 23% would further increase older-age participation by 3.4 and 5.1 percent, respectively.
Keywords: Social Security reform, retirement, labor force participation, health, older workers
Welfare Programs and the Time Allocation, Savings, and Child Quality of Single-Mother Families
Conference: ASSA 2022 Annual Meeting (AEA Paper Session, Poverty); Western Economic Association International Annual Conference (Invited); Southern Economic Association; 2022.
Labor Supply and Saving Behavior of Older Individuals Across Time and Space (with Selahattin Imrohoroglu)
Conference: Western Economic Association International Annual Conference (Invited); Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory; Southern Economic Association; 2023.
Social Security Spousal Benefits, Husband Types, and the Labor Market Decisions of Married Women
On Human Capital Accumulation of Husbands and Wives, with Private Information (with Oksana Leukhina and R. Vijay Krishna)
Why Is Agricultural Productivity So Low in Poor Countries? The Case of India (with Oksana Leukhina and Md Mahbubur Rahman)